A potentially dangerous situation is developing for the Florida Panhandle and North Central/Central Florida Peninsula. If you live anywhere on the coast from Pensacola to Tampa, you need to watch this storm! Forecasters are having a hard time predicting what it is going to do.
Right now, TD 9 is fighting wind shear and not rapidly developing, fortunately. However, it is in extremely warm water that is typical of the Gulf of Mexico this time of year. If the wind shear should relax, Florida is in deep trouble. It has the small potential to blow up into a monster hurricane (remember where Katrina entered the Gulf?) Another factor forecasters are having trouble with is when it will begin making a turn to the north. This depends on a weather system that is eventually going to steer it northeast. Current spaghetti models have a very wide spread, and they are predicting possible landfall between Pensacola and Crystal River. Every minute the storm either delays or begins turning will determine where exactly the storm will impact Florida, and IT WILL impact Florida. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) believes the storm will hit the coast somewhere around Cedar Key by Thursday morning or afternoon. But judging by the updated spaghetti models, they may have to move their official track more northerly. Residents living from Pensacola to Crystal River should start making plans and stay updated. Regardless how powerful the storm may become, it will bring coastal flooding, heavy wind/rain, and possibly tornadoes when the storm does come ashore.
There is some good news, however. After it makes its turn to the northeast, the system is expected to move quickly across the state as it races along a frontal boundary. So, the effects will lessen, as a result.
But, don't let your guard down and automatically assume this is going to be a minor event because things could change! Stay on top of every update the NHC puts out. I mentioned earlier that there is a chance this system could develop into a major hurricane. Start planning or preparing now! Click on the websites below for current updates...
This site has the current model runs:
1 year ago